[Phase 1 write-up] Metered dead-compacted Kerdock cubature with exact compiler reductions (submission 326680)

This public write-up and the attached PDF refer to exactly one successfully
graded Phase 1 entry: submission 326680. I am submitting it for the Phase 1
Algorithmic Contribution Prize and, by publishing it here, for Community
Contribution consideration as well.

On WhestBench 0.14.0 / FlopScope 0.10.0, submission 326680 completed 100/100
MLPs with zero failures. Its official final-layer raw MSE is
2.4258079704964076e-7, adjusted score is 1.43914441754321e-7, mean
effective compute is 161367794290.68, and score multiplier is
0.5932639495980835.

What the estimator does

The estimator is deterministic and target-free at prediction time:

  1. It uses the complete dimension-256 real Kerdock mutually unbiased basis
    construction: 129 bases and both signs of every vector, for 66,048 angular
    directions. The construction has a checked algebraic rank/multiplicity
    certificate.
  2. ReLU positive homogeneity removes Gaussian radius sampling exactly. A
    signed fast Walsh-Hadamard transform evaluates the first layer of the
    Kerdock carrier.
  3. A diagonal-Gaussian recurrence proposes inactive coordinates, while the
    first 1,652 carrier rows are reused as a billed pilot. A coordinate is
    omitted only when the analytic and pilot tests agree.
  4. Omitted inputs are not silently replaced by zero. Their recurrence mean is
    added analytically to the next preactivation, while the remaining columns
    follow deterministic compacted routes.
  5. The final three layers use a dead/on/kink structural fold. Only kink paths
    need row-level ReLU evaluation; always-on paths are composed linearly.
  6. Four exact source-level rewrites preserve every prediction bit while
    removing billed work: pilot-zero input compaction, pilot-mask reuse,
    single assembly of Winograd quadrant blocks, and deletion of advanced
    identity gathers after local compaction.

Every predict-time numerical operation uses a FlopScope primitive. The exact
submitted archive was package-validated and replayed after extraction.

Contribution boundary

The published SOX estimator already describes analytic dead/kink/on
classification, pilot reclassification, structural sampling, and sparse
continuation. I do not claim those ideas as new.

The narrower contribution here is the combined, metered route from a complete
Kerdock angular construction to a legal depth-32 estimator: the algebraic
carrier certificate, exact radial conditioning, signed-FWHT evaluation,
conservative intersection of analytic and reused-carrier pilot tests,
analytic omitted-input fill, deterministic compacted continuation, and exact
prediction-preserving compiler reductions.

The result is also deliberately bounded. Relative to the published SOX
result, submission 326680 has a better adjusted score and lower compute, but
its raw MSE is about 11.3% worse. Its measured advantage is compute-driven; it
should not be described as a more accurate raw estimator than SOX.

What failed

The attached paper records representative negative results rather than only
the final survivor:

  • teacher-forced scalar-energy and conditional-product closures had depth-32
    bias more than 2,200 times above the predeclared raw-error ceiling;
  • a pair/gate family failed even with an impossible truth-informed oracle;
  • two local nonlinear residual heads regressed untouched validation by more
    than 3.5 times;
  • a train-only alpha-tail ridge had validation adjusted-product ratio 1.923;
  • a terminal Gaussian gate-count control failed its stability floor before
    truth generation;
  • a six-bin alpha calibration regressed validation and remained
    non-promotable;
  • deeper Winograd recursion preserved predictions but increased effective
    compute in every paired repeat; and
  • carrier-self-piloted dead-tail fusion saved counted work but changed one
    dead/live decision and failed bitwise parity on 1/16 frozen cases.

These kills suggest that one scalar energy, a low-capacity alpha calibration,
or another compiler micro-variant is not the missing sufficient statistic.
They do not prove that all learned residual or joint-distribution methods must
fail.

Limitations

The Kerdock rule is a deterministic finite angular cubature and is generally
biased for a deep ReLU integrand. A coordinate-sign symmetry is not a Haar
randomization or an unbiasedness theorem. The diagonal recurrence ignores
cross-neuron dependence, and a finite pilot cannot prove global inactivity.
The public score is one noisy aggregate on known Phase 1 networks; it does not
establish fresh-private generalization.

LLM disclosure

I used ChatGPT/Codex and Claude extensively for literature search,
derivations, implementation discussion, experiment design, drafting, and test
review. Multiple model-proposed mechanisms were rejected by the frozen gates
reported in the paper. Numerical claims come from frozen receipts or the
terminal AIcrowd readback. I chose the experiments, own the submission, and am
responsible for every claim and limitation.

Attachment: I would especially welcome technical discussion of (1) deterministic angular
designs versus randomized QMC for deep ReLU means, (2) principled corrections
for omitted low-activity coordinates, and (3) which joint-distribution
statistic could survive propagation without relying on public-target fitting.
e211_dead_compacted_kerdock.pdf (88.5 KB)